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Google’s AI, Gemini, is currently a hot topic, performing very well in comparison to competitors like ChatGPT.
We asked Gemini for its take on the cryptocurrency XRP. How will XRP close out the year? Gemini is quite optimistic, expecting the token to recoup its November losses in the final month of 2025.
In Short #
- Gemini AI Analysis: XRP could largely recover its November losses in December.
- Capital Inflow: Over €515 million (€725 million based on the most recent data) in net inflows into new XRP Spot ETFs indicates institutional interest.
- Supporting Factors: An expected interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and a more favorable regulatory climate are cited as supportive drivers.
Institutional Inflows Drive XRP Recovery #
The price of XRP is showing recovery in early December after a November in which its value corrected from around $2.50 to a low near $1.90. The price is currently trading around $2.20.
According to Gemini AI’s analysis, this recovery is largely attributable to specific institutional interest, with XRP following a different trend than Bitcoin and Ethereum:
“While BTC and ETH are facing outflows, we are seeing a strong net inflow specifically for new XRP Spot ETFs (over €515 million in a short time).”
This capital inflow suggests that XRP may be decoupling from the broader market trend.
Macroeconomic Support #
Beyond XRP-specific factors, the broader economic picture also contributes to the outlook.
The market is pricing in an interest rate cut by the U.S. central bank (Federal Reserve) in December, with an implied probability of 85-90 percent, according to Gemini. Such a cut typically increases liquidity for risky assets like cryptocurrencies.
Additionally, a more favorable regulatory climate in the United States is mentioned. A changed stance from the regulator SEC following a period of legal proceedings provides more clarity for investors, according to the analysis.
“A friendlier stance from securities regulator SEC and the potential ‘innovation exemption’ are now giving XRP, which was historically plagued by lawsuits, a tailwind.”
XRP Price Outlook for End of 2025 #
On a technical level, Gemini AI identifies resistance for XRP around the $2.30 mark, with the next level at November’s high of $2.50. A support zone is identified between $2.00 and $2.10.
A potential risk for the entire crypto market is a possible interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan, which could negate the positive factors.
Gemini AI’s analysis concludes with a price prediction for December 31, 2025:
“I expect XRP to continue its recovery in the final weeks of December. The inflow into ETFs will likely create steady buying pressure, putting the dip towards $1.90 firmly behind us. An attack on the $2.50 level is highly likely if the Fed actually cuts rates.”
This would mean that XRP almost fully recovers its November losses, driven by institutional adoption via ETFs and supportive macroeconomic conditions.
However, Gemini clearly states at the end of the analysis: “Disclaimer: This is an AI-generated analysis based on the provided context and not financial advice. Crypto markets are highly volatile.” This certainly offers no guarantee!