Fed

The crypto market saw a major downturn on December 1, with Bitcoin plunging over 5% and erasing $160 billion in total market cap. The drop is attributed to macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of a Fed speech, tightening monetary signals from Japan, and renewed regulatory pressure from China.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell is set to deliver a key speech today, with markets anticipating a rate cut. We discuss the expectations, the impact of the Fed’s new policy, and the potential successor to Powell—developments that could affect the crypto market.

A cooling U.S. labor market is creating downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price as investors become more risk-averse. While weak jobs data can initially hurt crypto, it also raises expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, which could benefit the market later.

Bitcoin is showing signs of a cautious recovery, supported by dovish Fed signals and shifting ETF flows. However, analysts remain cautious, questioning if the uptrend is strong enough to reverse the recent downtrend, with key technical levels in focus.

Arthur Hayes predicts that the recent low at $80,000 was the bottom for bitcoin, citing macroeconomic factors such as the end of quantitative tightening and increased bank lending. Meanwhile, the Fed is expected to cut rates, which could boost the crypto market.