Macro

Corné Marchand reviews a volatile week in crypto, discussing Strategy’s potential Bitcoin sales, macroeconomic trends, legal developments, and what to expect from the markets in the coming week.

Bitcoin’s price is rallying, fueled by aggressive buying, but analysts warn this signals an overheated market. Contrasting this with stalling economic velocity, they caution that the current momentum may be driven by leverage rather than solid fundamentals, making the rally potentially fragile.

The crypto market saw a major downturn on December 1, with Bitcoin plunging over 5% and erasing $160 billion in total market cap. The drop is attributed to macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of a Fed speech, tightening monetary signals from Japan, and renewed regulatory pressure from China.

New market data reveals that hedge funds have taken massive short positions against the U.S. dollar, a historically crowded trade that often precedes a sharp reversal. This article explores the potential consequences of a dollar short squeeze for the Bitcoin price, analyzing both short-term risks and long-term opportunities.

The falling U.S. 10-year Treasury yield signals a delayed realization of economic weakness, not just Federal Reserve policy. This has significant implications for Bitcoin, suggesting short-term price pressure but long-term support due to a more favorable monetary environment.

The probability of a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut in December has jumped to 79%, driven by a cooling labor market. This shift towards ’easier money’ is boosting risk assets, with Bitcoin trading higher alongside stocks and gold.